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European PV market has recovered! Look at the latest photovoltaic development in Turkey, Germany, France and other seven countries

Number of hits :13892021-01-01 00:00:00 source: QUTHC Limited (Huizhou) Co., Ltd

Polaris solar photovoltaic network news: in 2017, European solar energy showed signs of recovery. Some countries have released the data of substantial growth, and some new markets have begun to realize the possibility of photovoltaic. This paper summarizes the latest development of photovoltaic in Europe.
According to IHS Markit, in 2017, the new installed capacity of solar grid connection in Europe was 8.61 gigawatts, up 28% year on year, reaching the highest level in five years.
Turkey led the way, with 1.79 GW of installed capacity in 2017, an increase of 213%.
The German installed capacity was 1.75 GW, an increase of 23%.
Britain, the third largest country in the world, has only 912 megawatts, down 54% year-on-year due to further weakening of government support.
The Netherlands began to establish its dominant position in Europe.
Central European countries, including Poland and Hungary, have also begun to take action, while Spain has recovered from the gloomy mid-2016, with a new installation of 135 MW in 2017.
With the progress of 2018, Europe seems to have recovered: auctions are going on across the continent, and demand for rooftop solar energy has rebounded strongly in the residential and commercial sectors of Germany and Italy. IHS Markit analyst von aichberger predicted that demand in Europe will grow significantly in 2018, saying that "Europe will win global market share by 2020, but it will not return to its important position before 2014."
Turkey integration in progress
After prosperity comes integration. Turkey's installation of 1.79 gigawatts in 2017 shocked many people. But this year is unlikely to continue. The market outlook for 2018 is still relatively low, with an estimated installed capacity of 700-800 MW.
Some manufacturers, suppliers, contractors and subcontractors may withdraw from the market by the end of this year. Only some bigger and more mature group companies can survive.
The future of large projects will depend on the choice of the Turkish government. Whether the government will choose to further carry out "super project bidding" is still controversial.
It will be a tough time for Turkey's solar suppliers, contractors and EPC, but there will be opportunities in the surrounding areas. Altay Co ğ Kuno ğ Lu, chairman of Tekno group, said that Turkish companies are very flexible in changing direction rapidly, and most of them, like some international companies, are very dynamic.
Germany back on track
The mainstream sentiment in the German market is positive. Last year's growth has picked up again, but the figure of 1.75 gigawatts is still lower than the politically expected expansion target. Bswsolar believes Germany will be able to reach the benchmark of 2.5 gigawatts again this year. The first quarter data gave hope - 580 megawatts of new capacity, up 65% year-on-year. It is expected to be slightly lower than 2.2gw in 2019.
Carsten K ü rnig, chief executive of BSW solar, said that in addition to lower prices, the stable policy environment reinforces the confidence of traders and project planners, which is the fundamental reason for the recovery of the German market. In addition, the German government has promised to allocate 2 gigawatts of photovoltaic power generation contracts in 2019 and 2020. At present, the bidding volume for 750 kW and above systems is 600 MW per year.
Meanwhile, eupd research analysts said the outlook for small and C & I rooftop systems remained "very positive.". Susanne von aichberger of ihsmarkit also sees this segment as an important market driver. In contrast, she saw the uncertainty in the market development of the special 2 GW tender project announced.
France's leading position looms
In France, grid connected PV reached 875 MW in 2017, an increase of 50% over 2016. Since 2015, the country has started bidding projects for more than 5 gigawatts of solar power generation from 2017 to 2020.
In addition, since 2017, there has been a fit solution for small systems including self consuming photovoltaic arrays, which has brought a lot of growth. In 2016, 15000 new self consuming photovoltaic arrays were connected to the grid.
The French government added 1 gigawatt of additional capacity at the end of 2017. A "solar working group" has also been convened, which will meet from May to June to find solutions to simplify administrative procedures and speed up photovoltaic development.
Xavier Daval, chairman of ser-soler, the French Solar Energy Association, said that the French photovoltaic market will reach 3 gigawatts per year by 2023.
Austria is ambitious
The Austrian government has succeeded in restoring confidence. Vera Liebl of the Austrian photovoltaic Association (PVA) said that by 2030, 100% of Austria's electricity consumption will come from renewable energy, mainly hydropower, photovoltaic and wind energy. PVA expects the country to add 170 MW in 2017 and 300 MW this year. It will further increase to 350 MW in 2019.
But eupd research analyst Ammon is less than happy to predict that this year's figure should be 220 megawatts, although he sees a "positive trend.".
This year's strong market growth was partly due to additional incentives. For example, the government has allocated 15 million euros this year and next to promote photovoltaic systems and power storage. On the other hand, solar subsidies for rooftop systems have also been revised, with the share of self consumption largely taken into account, which means that more facilities can benefit from incentives.
According to the calculation of PVA, 15 gigawatts of photovoltaic power will be needed to meet the 2030 target. The current installed capacity is about 1.5 gigawatts, which means a huge market potential in the next few years.
Switzerland's solid prospects
Swiss solar expects the country's capacity to remain below 264 megawatts in 2017 - the country's 2016 figure. EUP also expects a slight decline in growth in 2017, while his Markit believes it will be flat with 2016. David stickelberger, chief executive of swissolar, said that Switzerland is expected to grow by about 300 MW this year, while ihsmarkit even predicted that this year's growth will be slightly less than 340 MW and 380 MW in 2019. 400 megawatts by 2020.
Switzerland is now introducing a self consumption policy. IHS Markit analyst Susan nevon aichberger stressed that even without one-time subsidies, self consumption of photovoltaic power generation can often be profitable.
Stickelberger also believes that electricity liquidity is an important driving force for the Swiss photovoltaic market.
The return of solar energy in Greece
Greece is preparing bids for new 300 MW PV and wind power projects to be held on July 2, and there will be more bids for PV capacity between 2019 and 2020. In 2018-2019, Greece is expected to add another 800 MW of solar photovoltaic and wind power projects through joint auctions.
According to the latest statistics of lagie, the Greek electricity market operator, Greece's current cumulative installed capacity is 2094 MW of large-scale ground projects and 351 MW of roof photovoltaic. Most of the time between 2012 and 2013 was installation. In the December 2014 net metering scenario, only 16 MW units were installed.
At present, all eyes are focused on the coming auction. Successful bidders will be able to participate in the energy market and will receive a floating premium. The premium will depend on market variables (for example, the marginal price of the system) and the price of electricity set through bidding. This policy eventually brought about competition in the renewable energy market in Greece. But it needs more participants. It is expected that the tender in July will need to attract at least 75% more capacity than the tender volume.
Stelios psomas, a policy consultant of helapo, believes that due to the lack of mature projects in the bidding projects, the bidding volume set seems unreasonable.
Poland flees coal slowly
Although the current installed capacity of solar energy is only about 280 MW, Poland is expected to auction about 750 MW of photovoltaic power this year, which can further help the most polluted country in Europe to achieve a more reasonable level of renewable energy deployment.
The 2018 auction is likely to be no more than 1 MW. Large scale projects should have a better chance at another 180 MW hybrid power plant auction. But wind power is likely to be allocated to a gigawatt of capacity.
PV Poland said that in the past few years, the roof solar system of 40kW and below under the net metering scheme has greatly promoted the development of photovoltaic. By 2020, the photovoltaic power generation in Poland will probably rise to 1GW.

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